Thunderstorm forecast #Europe, #NorthAmerica and #Asia (Prognoza furtuna pentru astazi in Europa si America de Nord)

Thunderstorm forecast #Europe, #NorthAmerica and #Asia (Prognoza furtuna pentru astazi in Europa si America de Nord).

Thunderstorm forecast Europe2016042806_201604270007_1_stormforecast.xml_

Storm Forecast
Valid: Wed 27 Apr 2016 06:00 to Thu 28 Apr 2016 06:00 UTC
Issued: Wed 27 Apr 2016 00:07
Forecaster: PUCIK

A level 1 was issued for eastern Belgium and central Germany mainly for severe wind gusts.


Situation over whole Europe is dominated by a large mid to upper tropospheric low centered over Denmark. Unseasonably cold airmass has been advected from the Artic through Great Britain towards central Europe. Core of the low is associated with steep lapse rates reaching 7 to 7.5 K/km from surface to approximately 500 hPa, as is evidenced by numerous Tuesday 12 UTC soundings from NW Germany and UK. Also during Wednesday, scattered low topped DMC will form in bands and a rather large area of western to central Europe deserves at least a low prob lightning area. Despite the steep lapse rates, instability will stay marginal due to the meager mixing ratios up to 4 g/kg. A lvl 1 is introduced for parts of Germany and Belgium, where a belt of 850 hPa flow up to 20 m/s may contribute to severe wind gusts at the surface with any stronger downdraft. Otherwise, sub-severe hail / soft hail and gusty winds will be common in this situation.Thunderstorm-forecast-Europe-5 Thunderstorm-Probability_20160427_europe

North America thunderstorm forecast Thunderstorm-forecast-North-America-5 Thunderstorm-Probability_20160427_North-America

Asia thunderstorm forecast Thunderstorm-forecast-Asia-6 Thunderstorm-Probability_20160428_asia



Lightnings past 24 hLightnings-past-24-h-Europe-1 Lightnings-past-24-h-North-America-1




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